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Red211
198771.0
282644.9
353878.2
Blue207
590754.7
173276.5
170691.0
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183251100150200300350211207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
30Coral scored#27
107Coral points98
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#9
18Processor points18
16Net points36
34Algae points54
141Total teleop152
Reef
16L4#14
11L3#8
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points2
211Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#27
78.21.8
74.676.4
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
blue by 12.8
1706
#30
91.02.3
92.089.7
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
Second
1987
#44
71.01.8
69.971.7
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
blue by 5.5
1732
#40
76.52.3
82.179.9
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
Third
2826
#10
44.91.8
34.035.8
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
blue by 9.8
5907
#52
54.72.3
59.056.8
Auto7.9
Teleop44.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned