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Red173
207564.9
464655.8
86885.2
Blue279
1690107.6
6778.9
694100.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233320150200250300350400173279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+45
Teleop+104
Endgame+106
Fouls+106
AutonomousBlue +45
6Leave3
4Coral scored#14
21Coral points69
27Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +59
29Coral scored#34
104Coral points123
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#7
6Processor points30
12Net points28
18Algae points58
122Total teleop181
Reef
11L4#22
9L3#11
8L2#11
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#60
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +106
0Foul points0
173Total score279

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#29
85.24.0
81.577.5
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
blue by 22.4
107.61.8
105.9104.1
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
Second
2075
#20
64.94.0
69.765.7
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
blue by 35.8
694
#4
100.71.8
104.6102.7
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
Third
4646
#54
55.84.0
68.564.4
Auto11.9
Teleop40.2
End3.7
blue by 23.1
67
#14
78.91.8
81.679.8
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsMissed100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned