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Red256
327685.5
924581.0
414569.0
Blue228
571266.2
276781.2
903263.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255226150200300350256228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +25
37Coral scored#33
132Coral points119
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
12Processor points12
36Net points24
48Algae points36
180Total teleop155
Reef
15L4#16
11L3#9
10L2#7
8L1 · trough#8
55Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
256Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.50.2
88.388.5
Auto8.7
Teleop65.7
End11.1
red by 4.3
2767
#25
81.20.0
81.081.0
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
Second
81.00.2
81.181.3
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
red by 14.8
5712
#24
66.20.0
75.075.1
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
Third
4145
#34
69.00.2
71.771.9
Auto13.8
Teleop46.7
End8.5
red by 5.9
9032
#37
63.10.0
60.760.7
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned