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Red241
366386.9
353878.2
924581.0
Blue210
198771.0
283274.6
18081.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252239200300350241210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
11Coral scored#9
57Coral points47
57Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +21
32Coral scored#23
114Coral points81
2Processor algae#6
8Net algae#5
12Processor points36
32Net points20
44Algae points56
158Total teleop137
Reef
13L4#12
13L3#6
12L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
241Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#43
86.91.0
87.786.7
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
red by 5.1
180
#18
81.82.2
88.786.5
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6
Second
81.01.0
81.380.3
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
red by 6.4
2832
#46
74.62.2
71.569.3
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
Third
3538
#27
78.21.0
76.475.4
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
red by 7.2
1987
#44
71.02.2
71.769.5
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned