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Red277
804486.0
349469.4
248197.8
Blue228
207564.9
694100.7
46957.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268241150200300350400277228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
10Coral scored#11
49Coral points56
55Total auto62
TeleoperatedRed +36
37Coral scored#24
134Coral points88
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#11
24Processor points18
28Net points44
52Algae points62
186Total teleop150
Reef
16L4#15
13L3#7
11L2#7
7L1 · trough#6
58Game pieces#49
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
277Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.80.9
99.7100.5
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
blue by 2.9
694
#4
100.71.0
102.7101.8
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
Second
8044
#21
86.00.9
88.789.6
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
red by 21.2
2075
#20
64.91.0
65.764.7
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
Third
3494
#48
69.40.9
62.563.4
Auto13.5
Teleop46.9
End9.0
red by 12.2
469
#32
57.21.0
59.058.0
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
100%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned