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Red238
86885.2
903263.1
3376.6
Blue259
745797.5
394079.0
282644.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233228100150200250300350238259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
33Coral scored#34
117Coral points124
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#8
24Processor points30
20Net points32
44Algae points62
161Total teleop186
Reef
20L4#9
10L3#15
7L2#8
6L1 · trough#9
52Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
238Total score259

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#29
85.20.5
78.378.9
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
blue by 12.3
7457
#19
97.52.2
96.598.8
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
Second
33
#39
76.60.5
77.277.7
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2
blue by 2.4
3940
#42
79.02.2
76.478.6
Auto15.8
Teleop53.8
End9.5
Third
9032
#37
63.10.5
60.761.2
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
red by 18.3
2826
#10
44.92.2
38.340.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned