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Red261
183376.1
4559.3
1690107.6
Blue217
341467.8
276781.2
366386.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257248180200220240280300320261217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
14Coral scored#9
69Coral points44
72Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +8
29Coral scored#28
103Coral points99
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
145Total teleop137
Reef
11L4#10
12L3#8
11L2#9
9L1 · trough#10
52Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
8Foul points0
261Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.60.9
106.7107.6
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 20.7
3663
#43
86.91.2
86.785.4
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
Second
1833
#22
76.10.9
71.872.7
Auto19.2
Teleop46.9
End10.0
blue by 5.2
2767
#25
81.21.2
80.579.3
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
Third
45
#33
59.30.9
54.955.8
Auto10.3
Teleop38.8
End10.2
blue by 8.6
3414
#49
67.81.2
63.061.8
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned