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Red183
102358.9
414569.0
46957.2
Blue248
901553.8
694100.7
198771.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209247100150300350183248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +54
23Coral scored#37
82Coral points134
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
124Total teleop178
Reef
10L4#18
6L3#18
6L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
6Foul points0
183Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#34
69.01.5
71.269.7
Auto13.8
Teleop46.7
End8.5
blue by 31.6
694
#4
100.70.6
101.8102.4
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
Second
1023
#26
58.91.5
56.354.8
Auto10.6
Teleop43.9
End4.4
blue by 12.2
1987
#44
71.00.6
69.570.1
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
Third
469
#32
57.21.5
58.056.5
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
red by 3.3
9015
#50
53.80.6
53.754.4
Auto11.5
Teleop39.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned