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Red253
459069.6
34185.8
173276.5
Blue241
492652.5
745797.5
349469.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247227150200300350253241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
9Coral scored#11
44Coral points54
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +22
35Coral scored#35
125Coral points125
5Processor algae#4
7Net algae#3
30Processor points24
28Net points12
58Algae points36
183Total teleop161
Reef
21L4#15
11L3#17
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#8
56Game pieces#53
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
253Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
85.80.9
83.784.6
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
blue by 11.7
7457
#19
97.51.0
98.899.8
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
Second
1732
#40
76.50.9
79.380.3
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
red by 7.1
3494
#48
69.41.0
63.464.4
Auto13.5
Teleop46.9
End9.0
Third
4590
#12
69.60.9
64.765.7
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
red by 17.2
4926
#59
52.51.0
51.953.0
Auto15.1
Teleop30.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned