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Red263
6778.9
353878.2
402881.9
Blue233
213781.2
903263.1
183376.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257224150200300350263233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
8Coral scored#12
42Coral points58
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +35
32Coral scored#30
114Coral points107
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#6
30Processor points18
40Net points24
70Algae points42
184Total teleop149
Reef
20L4#13
9L3#9
8L2#13
3L1 · trough#7
55Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
2Foul points0
263Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#17
81.90.6
83.484.0
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
red by 0.8
2137
#36
81.20.7
76.677.4
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
Second
67
#14
78.90.6
81.682.2
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
red by 2.8
1833
#22
76.10.7
72.773.5
Auto19.2
Teleop46.9
End10.0
Third
3538
#27
78.20.6
75.476.0
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
red by 15.1
9032
#37
63.10.7
61.262.0
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned