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Red242
924581.0
248197.8
176887.8
Blue321
42293.3
2056112.5
170691.0
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263314150200350400450242321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+44
Teleop+69
Endgame+79
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +44
0Leave9
7Coral scored#14
35Coral points70
35Total auto79
TeleoperatedBlue +25
39Coral scored#33
139Coral points120
2Processor algae#6
7Net algae#12
12Processor points36
28Net points48
40Algae points84
179Total teleop204
Reef
10L4#20
16L3#11
11L2#10
9L1 · trough#6
55Game pieces#65
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
2Foul points2
242Total score321

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.82.3
100.598.2
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
blue by 14.8
112.50.6
116.9117.5
Auto30.9
Teleop71.3
End10.3
Second
1768
#11
87.82.3
82.580.2
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
blue by 5.5
422
#9
93.30.6
90.190.7
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
Third
81.02.3
80.378.0
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
blue by 10.1
1706
#30
91.00.6
91.492.0
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned