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Red141
108648.1
18081.8
335739.6
Blue197
207564.9
174159.0
568778.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186223100150200250300141197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
12Coral scored#12
61Coral points62
61Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +52
15Coral scored#25
54Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
74Total teleop126
Reef
9L4#16
8L3#9
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
141Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#18
81.82.3
86.584.2
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6
red by 3.1
5687
#41
78.80.6
77.276.6
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
Second
1086
#57
48.12.3
47.244.9
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
blue by 16.7
2075
#20
64.90.6
64.764.1
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
Third
3357
#55
39.62.3
38.736.4
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 19.4
1741
#56
59.00.6
58.057.4
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsMissed