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Red258
30270.7
34185.8
465573.3
Blue229
414569.0
11897.0
590754.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236245160180200220260280300258229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+9Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
33Coral scored#36
118Coral points130
4Processor algae#4
9Net algae#9
24Processor points24
36Net points36
60Algae points60
178Total teleop190
Reef
19L4#11
9L3#17
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
53Game pieces#52
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
258Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
85.81.8
84.686.4
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
blue by 11.2
118
#16
97.00.5
99.498.9
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
Second
4655
#31
73.31.8
68.970.7
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
red by 4.3
4145
#34
69.00.5
69.769.2
Auto13.8
Teleop46.7
End8.5
Third
302
#15
70.71.8
66.868.6
Auto19.3
Teleop44.7
End6.6
red by 16.0
5907
#52
54.70.5
55.755.2
Auto7.9
Teleop44.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned