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Red269
449987.3
102446.4
1690107.6
Blue247
11187.3
349469.4
198771.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260233150200250300269247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
13Coral scored#8
65Coral points41
65Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +11
33Coral scored#33
118Coral points117
5Processor algae#3
3Net algae#9
30Processor points18
12Net points36
42Algae points54
160Total teleop171
Reef
20L4#19
13L3#9
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
54Game pieces#53
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
8Foul points0
269Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.60.7
107.6108.3
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 20.3
111
#35
87.31.1
84.085.2
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
Second
4499
#13
87.30.7
84.685.3
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
red by 16.3
1987
#44
71.01.1
70.171.2
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
Third
1024
#45
46.40.7
47.748.4
Auto8.3
Teleop32.3
End5.8
blue by 23.0
3494
#48
69.41.1
64.465.6
Auto13.5
Teleop46.9
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned