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Red239
102358.9
568778.8
571266.2
Blue208
459069.6
414365.8
86885.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224243150200300239208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points52
57Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +32
33Coral scored#19
118Coral points68
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
18Processor points24
20Net points32
38Algae points56
156Total teleop124
Reef
16L4#9
11L3#9
7L2#8
9L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
10Foul points0
239Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#41
78.81.0
76.677.6
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
blue by 6.5
868
#29
85.21.0
78.977.9
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
Second
5712
#24
66.21.0
71.372.3
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
blue by 3.5
4590
#12
69.61.0
65.764.7
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
Third
1023
#26
58.91.0
54.855.8
Auto10.6
Teleop43.9
End4.4
blue by 6.9
4143
#28
65.81.0
67.266.2
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned