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Red187
174159.0
464655.8
282644.9
Blue261
248197.8
4559.3
394079.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16326350100200300350187261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+66
Endgame+68
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +29
9Leave9
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points50
30Total auto59
TeleoperatedBlue +37
20Coral scored#25
71Coral points90
4Processor algae#5
9Net algae#12
24Processor points30
36Net points48
60Algae points78
131Total teleop168
Reef
11L4#17
6L3#10
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
2Foul points8
187Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#56
59.01.1
57.458.6
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
blue by 38.7
97.80.6
98.298.8
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
Second
4646
#54
55.81.1
58.759.9
Auto11.9
Teleop40.2
End3.7
blue by 23.2
3940
#42
79.00.6
78.679.2
Auto15.8
Teleop53.8
End9.5
Third
2826
#10
44.91.1
40.541.6
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
blue by 14.4
45
#33
59.30.6
55.856.4
Auto10.3
Teleop38.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned