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Red291
2056112.5
804486.0
745797.5
Blue204
353878.2
11243.9
335739.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3381370100200300400291204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+75Teleop
+75Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
0Leave0
14Coral scored#7
71Coral points37
71Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
35Coral scored#21
126Coral points75
4Processor algae#7
10Net algae#8
24Processor points42
40Net points32
64Algae points74
190Total teleop149
Reef
21L4#13
11L3#7
8L2#3
9L1 · trough#5
63Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
14Foul points2
291Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.52.7
117.5114.8
Auto30.9
Teleop71.3
End10.3
red by 34.3
3538
#27
78.23.0
76.079.0
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
Second
7457
#19
97.52.7
99.897.1
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
red by 53.6
112
#53
43.93.0
33.336.3
Auto2.0
Teleop37.9
End4.0
Third
8044
#21
86.02.7
89.386.6
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
red by 46.4
3357
#55
39.63.0
36.439.4
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
100%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned