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Red217
18081.8
44957.5
276781.2
Blue207
170691.0
108648.1
283274.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24221904006008001,000217207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points27
48Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
25Coral scored#24
91Coral points85
5Processor algae#4
5Net algae#10
30Processor points24
20Net points40
50Algae points64
141Total teleop149
Reef
9L4#11
10L3#10
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points2
217Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#18
81.80.7
84.283.5
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6
blue by 9.2
1706
#30
91.00.1
92.092.0
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
Second
2767
#25
81.20.7
79.378.6
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
red by 6.7
2832
#46
74.60.1
69.068.9
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
Third
449
#58
57.50.7
61.460.8
Auto8.0
Teleop40.2
End9.2
red by 9.4
1086
#57
48.10.1
44.944.9
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned