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Red187
173276.5
901553.8
492652.5
Blue203
903263.1
207564.9
42293.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197245100150300187203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+26
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave0
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points51
36Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +11
26Coral scored#28
95Coral points100
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
6Processor points12
24Net points24
30Algae points36
125Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#17
7L3#11
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
187Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#40
76.50.2
80.380.1
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
blue by 16.8
422
#9
93.31.1
90.789.6
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
Second
9015
#50
53.80.2
54.454.1
Auto11.5
Teleop39.4
End3.0
blue by 11.0
2075
#20
64.91.1
64.163.0
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
Third
4926
#59
52.50.2
53.052.8
Auto15.1
Teleop30.9
End6.4
blue by 10.7
9032
#37
63.11.1
62.060.8
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned