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Red252
249172.3
6778.9
34185.8
Blue242
11187.3
23450.3
341467.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261209150250300350252242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
12Coral scored#9
60Coral points47
60Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +10
34Coral scored#26
124Coral points94
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#12
12Processor points24
20Net points48
32Algae points72
156Total teleop166
Reef
21L4#15
11L3#12
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#51
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
252Total score242

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
85.80.2
86.486.6
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
blue by 1.5
111
#35
87.32.4
85.287.6
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
Second
67
#14
78.90.2
82.282.5
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
red by 11.1
3414
#49
67.82.4
62.364.6
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
Third
2491
#38
72.30.2
68.969.1
Auto15.4
Teleop47.4
End9.4
red by 22.1
234
#47
50.32.4
47.750.0
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned