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Red228
213781.2
108648.1
11243.9
Blue237
46957.2
366386.9
571266.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17424150100150200300228237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
32Coral scored#39
116Coral points141
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
18Processor points6
24Net points20
42Algae points26
158Total teleop167
Reef
12L4#15
14L3#18
6L2#8
9L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#53
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
228Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#36
81.23.9
77.481.2
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
blue by 5.7
3663
#43
86.90.8
84.685.3
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
Second
1086
#57
48.13.9
44.948.7
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
blue by 18.1
5712
#24
66.20.8
72.373.0
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
Third
112
#53
43.93.9
36.340.2
Auto2.0
Teleop37.9
End4.0
blue by 13.3
469
#32
57.20.8
57.458.2
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned