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Red258
276781.2
42293.3
901553.8
Blue170
335739.6
3376.6
11897.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412250100300400500600258170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points52
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +75
24Coral scored#18
87Coral points66
4Processor algae#1
13Net algae#4
24Processor points6
52Net points16
76Algae points22
163Total teleop88
Reef
14L4#11
7L3#5
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
8Foul points0
258Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#9
93.31.8
89.691.4
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
blue by 3.7
118
#16
97.02.9
98.996.0
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
Second
2767
#25
81.21.8
78.680.4
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
red by 4.7
33
#39
76.62.9
75.272.3
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2
Third
9015
#50
53.81.8
54.156.0
Auto11.5
Teleop39.4
End3.0
red by 14.2
3357
#55
39.62.9
39.436.5
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned