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Red251
176887.8
207564.9
459069.6
Blue232
102446.4
283274.6
12575.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232212150200250300251232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
10Coral scored#7
49Coral points37
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +3
35Coral scored#33
127Coral points120
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
24Processor points24
16Net points20
40Algae points44
167Total teleop164
Reef
14L4#11
14L3#16
11L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
53Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points2
251Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#11
87.82.2
79.381.5
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
red by 12.0
125
#23
75.81.7
76.277.9
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
Second
4590
#12
69.62.2
64.766.9
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
blue by 4.9
2832
#46
74.61.7
68.970.6
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
Third
2075
#20
64.92.2
63.065.2
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
red by 18.5
1024
#45
46.41.7
48.450.1
Auto8.3
Teleop32.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned