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Red239
183376.1
694100.7
465573.3
Blue208
44957.5
174159.0
173276.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267211100150250300350239208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points44
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +18
32Coral scored#28
114Coral points102
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
156Total teleop138
Reef
15L4#17
13L3#11
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
239Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
100.70.4
101.5101.1
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
red by 24.2
1732
#40
76.50.6
80.180.6
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
Second
1833
#22
76.10.4
73.573.0
Auto19.2
Teleop46.9
End10.0
red by 17.1
1741
#56
59.00.6
58.659.1
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Third
4655
#31
73.30.4
70.770.3
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
red by 15.8
449
#58
57.50.6
60.861.4
Auto8.0
Teleop40.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned