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Red138
590754.7
335739.6
901553.8
Blue261
414365.8
341467.8
248197.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14925650100200300350138261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+95
Endgame+117
Fouls+123
AutonomousBlue +29
3Leave6
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points57
34Total auto63
TeleoperatedBlue +66
21Coral scored#32
76Coral points116
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
12Processor points30
12Net points20
24Algae points50
100Total teleop166
Reef
14L4#13
7L3#10
4L2#12
2L1 · trough#8
32Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +123
0Foul points6
138Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#52
54.71.4
55.654.2
Auto7.9
Teleop44.1
End2.7
blue by 43.1
97.81.1
98.9100.0
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
Second
9015
#50
53.81.4
56.054.6
Auto11.5
Teleop39.4
End3.0
blue by 14.0
3414
#49
67.81.1
64.665.7
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
Third
3357
#55
39.61.4
36.535.1
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 26.2
4143
#28
65.81.1
63.564.6
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned