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Red182
282644.9
1002143.2
108648.1
Blue264
924581.0
459069.6
11897.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122276050100150200250300350182264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+68
Endgame+88
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave6
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points43
44Total auto49
TeleoperatedBlue +63
23Coral scored#35
84Coral points125
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
12Processor points18
20Net points36
32Algae points54
116Total teleop179
Reef
13L4#16
9L3#13
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#8
38Game pieces#56
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
6Foul points0
182Total score264

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#57
48.12.4
48.751.1
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
blue by 48.9
118
#16
97.00.7
96.096.8
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
Second
2826
#10
44.92.4
41.744.1
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
blue by 36.1
81.00.7
78.979.7
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
Third
43.22.4
38.941.3
Auto6.5
Teleop33.1
End3.6
blue by 26.5
4590
#12
69.60.7
66.967.6
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned