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Red291
3376.6
1690107.6
12575.8
Blue262
34185.8
402881.9
213781.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273274240260280300320291262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points38
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
41Coral scored#34
147Coral points122
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#14
24Processor points24
20Net points56
44Algae points80
191Total teleop202
Reef
15L4#16
16L3#10
8L2#7
13L1 · trough#9
61Game pieces#60
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
291Total score262

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.61.0
108.3109.4
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 21.8
341
#2
85.80.1
86.686.5
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
Second
33
#39
76.61.0
72.373.3
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2
blue by 5.3
4028
#17
81.90.1
84.484.3
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
Third
125
#23
75.81.0
77.978.9
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
blue by 5.3
2137
#36
81.20.1
81.281.1
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned