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Red229
86885.2
283274.6
174159.0
Blue222
173276.5
327685.5
804486.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223288150200250300350229222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
8Coral scored#9
42Coral points44
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
29Coral scored#34
104Coral points122
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
152Total teleop154
Reef
15L4#17
10L3#9
9L2#10
3L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#50
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
229Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#29
85.20.5
80.380.8
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
blue by 0.8
8044
#21
86.03.3
89.085.7
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
Second
2832
#46
74.60.5
70.671.1
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
blue by 11.0
85.53.3
90.287.0
Auto8.7
Teleop65.7
End11.1
Third
1741
#56
59.00.5
59.159.7
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
blue by 17.5
1732
#40
76.53.3
80.677.4
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned