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Red240
465573.3
745797.5
207564.9
Blue227
376775.2
198771.0
276781.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522420100200300400500240227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
11Coral scored#12
54Coral points62
54Total auto62
TeleoperatedRed +21
35Coral scored#24
126Coral points85
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
18Processor points30
16Net points24
34Algae points54
160Total teleop139
Reef
21L4#12
8L3#11
10L2#9
7L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
240Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#19
97.50.4
96.897.2
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
red by 16.3
2767
#25
81.20.1
81.281.2
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
Second
4655
#31
73.30.4
72.973.3
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
blue by 1.8
75.20.1
74.174.2
Auto18.5
Teleop47.4
End9.3
Third
2075
#20
64.90.4
64.064.4
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
blue by 6.2
1987
#44
71.00.1
70.770.8
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned