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Red227
213781.2
44957.5
568778.8
Blue264
349469.4
282644.9
2056112.5
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235247160180200220260280300227264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave3
6Coral scored#12
28Coral points61
37Total auto64
Teleoperatedlevel
34Coral scored#31
122Coral points112
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
18Processor points24
24Net points28
42Algae points52
164Total teleop164
Reef
13L4#21
8L3#11
9L2#7
10L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
227Total score264

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#36
81.20.2
81.181.3
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
blue by 31.4
112.52.5
112.4114.8
Auto30.9
Teleop71.3
End10.3
Second
5687
#41
78.80.2
76.576.7
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
red by 9.4
3494
#48
69.42.5
64.366.8
Auto13.5
Teleop46.9
End9.0
Third
449
#58
57.50.2
61.661.8
Auto8.0
Teleop40.2
End9.2
red by 12.6
2826
#10
44.92.5
44.146.6
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned