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Red230
34185.8
102358.9
414365.8
Blue237
18081.8
183376.1
464655.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238236200210220230250260270230237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#10
47Coral points52
47Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +14
30Coral scored#26
109Coral points93
5Processor algae#4
7Net algae#9
30Processor points24
28Net points36
58Algae points60
167Total teleop153
Reef
17L4#13
13L3#13
7L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points10
230Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
85.80.6
86.587.1
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
red by 4.0
180
#18
81.80.2
84.984.8
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6
Second
4143
#28
65.80.6
64.665.2
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
blue by 10.3
1833
#22
76.10.2
74.174.0
Auto19.2
Teleop46.9
End10.0
Third
1023
#26
58.90.6
58.659.2
Auto10.6
Teleop43.9
End4.4
red by 3.1
4646
#54
55.80.2
59.459.2
Auto11.9
Teleop40.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned