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Red209
4559.3
335739.6
283274.6
Blue215
1002143.2
903263.1
694100.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181237100150200250300209215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +8
30Coral scored#24
108Coral points88
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#10
24Processor points24
28Net points40
52Algae points64
160Total teleop152
Reef
10L4#13
10L3#11
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
209Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#46
74.62.4
71.173.6
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
blue by 26.1
694
#4
100.70.2
101.8101.6
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
Second
45
#33
59.32.4
55.057.5
Auto10.3
Teleop38.8
End10.2
blue by 3.9
9032
#37
63.10.2
63.863.6
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
Third
3357
#55
39.62.4
35.137.5
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 3.6
43.20.2
41.341.1
Auto6.5
Teleop33.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned