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Red191
571266.2
18081.8
12575.8
Blue182
248197.8
44957.5
6778.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239260100150200300350400191182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
36Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +6
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points61
5Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
30Processor points30
24Net points20
54Algae points50
117Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
191Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#18
81.83.0
84.881.7
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6
blue by 15.9
97.84.3
101.997.6
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
Second
125
#23
75.83.0
78.975.8
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
blue by 3.0
67
#14
78.94.3
82.878.5
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
Third
5712
#24
66.23.0
70.967.9
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
red by 8.7
449
#58
57.54.3
61.857.5
Auto8.0
Teleop40.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned