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Red260
42293.3
46957.2
11187.3
Blue197
174159.0
30270.7
353878.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266224150200250300350260197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+69Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
11Coral scored#9
54Coral points44
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +49
38Coral scored#24
136Coral points87
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
24Processor points24
20Net points20
44Algae points44
180Total teleop131
Reef
25L4#11
10L3#11
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
58Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points6
260Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#9
93.30.7
91.792.5
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
red by 15.1
3538
#27
78.22.1
81.078.8
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
Second
111
#35
87.30.7
89.089.8
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
red by 16.7
302
#15
70.72.1
71.068.9
Auto19.3
Teleop44.7
End6.6
Third
469
#32
57.20.7
56.857.6
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
blue by 1.9
1741
#56
59.02.1
59.757.5
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned