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Red295
11897.0
1690107.6
198771.0
Blue240
335739.6
176887.8
183376.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309203100150250350400295240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
10Coral scored#10
49Coral points49
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +53
37Coral scored#22
133Coral points78
4Processor algae#5
13Net algae#12
24Processor points30
52Net points48
76Algae points78
209Total teleop156
Reef
13L4#13
21L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
64Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points0
295Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.60.3
109.8110.1
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 19.8
1768
#11
87.82.1
85.787.8
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
Second
118
#16
97.00.3
97.497.6
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
red by 21.0
1833
#22
76.12.1
74.076.1
Auto19.2
Teleop46.9
End10.0
Third
1987
#44
71.00.3
70.871.0
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
red by 31.4
3357
#55
39.62.1
37.539.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
100%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned