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Red260
376775.2
42293.3
414365.8
Blue259
414569.0
402881.9
283274.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258247150200300350260259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
48Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
31Coral scored#38
112Coral points136
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#8
24Processor points18
40Net points32
64Algae points50
176Total teleop186
Reef
13L4#13
11L3#15
9L2#8
6L1 · trough#9
53Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
260Total score259

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#9
93.30.5
92.593.0
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
red by 11.4
4028
#17
81.91.0
83.484.4
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
Second
75.20.5
74.274.7
Auto18.5
Teleop47.4
End9.3
red by 0.6
2832
#46
74.61.0
73.674.6
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
Third
4143
#28
65.80.5
65.265.8
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
blue by 3.3
4145
#34
69.01.0
68.069.0
Auto13.8
Teleop46.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned