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Red223
249172.3
341467.8
174159.0
Blue238
924581.0
207564.9
449987.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206255100150300223238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
10Coral scored#11
50Coral points54
50Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +4
29Coral scored#33
105Coral points119
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
151Total teleop155
Reef
15L4#15
10L3#16
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
223Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#38
72.31.5
70.872.3
Auto15.4
Teleop47.4
End9.4
blue by 15.0
4499
#13
87.30.4
86.887.2
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
Second
3414
#49
67.81.5
66.467.8
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
blue by 13.1
81.00.4
80.180.6
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
Third
1741
#56
59.01.5
57.559.0
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
blue by 5.8
2075
#20
64.90.4
64.464.9
Auto12.6
Teleop46.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned