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Red236
276781.2
170691.0
23450.3
Blue253
12575.8
11187.3
86885.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228263100150200250300350236253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +2
40Coral scored#32
143Coral points115
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#11
18Processor points12
12Net points44
30Algae points56
173Total teleop171
Reef
16L4#10
13L3#18
11L2#5
6L1 · trough#8
52Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
236Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#30
91.00.2
91.892.0
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
red by 3.7
111
#35
87.30.9
86.785.7
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
Second
2767
#25
81.20.2
80.881.0
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
blue by 4.0
868
#29
85.20.9
82.481.5
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
Third
234
#47
50.30.2
49.349.5
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End9.4
blue by 25.6
125
#23
75.80.9
80.879.9
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned