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Red261
276781.2
745797.5
213781.2
Blue224
3376.6
6778.9
924581.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280247150200300350261224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
9Coral scored#11
45Coral points55
51Total auto64
TeleoperatedRed +36
36Coral scored#29
130Coral points106
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
12Processor points12
32Net points20
44Algae points32
174Total teleop138
Reef
14L4#14
11L3#13
11L2#5
9L1 · trough#8
55Game pieces#47
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
261Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#19
97.50.0
98.298.1
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
red by 16.6
81.00.4
81.481.0
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
Second
2767
#25
81.20.0
81.981.8
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
red by 2.4
67
#14
78.90.4
79.378.9
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
Third
2137
#36
81.20.0
81.881.8
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
red by 4.6
33
#39
76.60.4
77.076.6
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2