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Red249
11897.0
694100.7
353878.2
Blue291
170691.0
327685.5
18081.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294269150200250350249291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave9
5Coral scored#11
24Coral points56
30Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +5
36Coral scored#31
129Coral points110
5Processor algae#4
6Net algae#11
30Processor points24
24Net points44
54Algae points68
183Total teleop178
Reef
21L4#20
9L3#10
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#8
52Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
249Total score291

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
100.70.6
101.3100.7
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
red by 9.6
1706
#30
91.00.4
91.291.7
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
Second
118
#16
97.00.6
97.797.0
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
red by 11.5
85.50.4
85.786.2
Auto8.7
Teleop65.7
End11.1
Third
3538
#27
78.20.6
78.978.2
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
blue by 3.6
180
#18
81.80.4
82.082.5
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6