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Red277
804486.0
86885.2
42293.3
Blue262
276781.2
745797.5
376775.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283270150200250300350400277262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
14Coral scored#15
69Coral points76
72Total auto76
TeleoperatedRed +13
31Coral scored#32
111Coral points114
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
24Processor points12
28Net points24
52Algae points36
163Total teleop150
Reef
13L4#16
18L3#11
9L2#11
5L1 · trough#9
56Game pieces#55
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
277Total score262

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#9
93.30.1
93.393.4
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
blue by 4.2
7457
#19
97.50.2
98.098.2
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
Second
8044
#21
86.00.1
86.086.1
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
red by 4.8
2767
#25
81.20.2
81.781.9
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
Third
868
#29
85.20.1
85.285.3
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
red by 10.1
75.20.2
75.075.2
Auto18.5
Teleop47.4
End9.3