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Red262
804486.0
86885.2
42293.3
Blue261
276781.2
745797.5
213781.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282273200250300350262261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave9
14Coral scored#11
72Coral points56
78Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +10
24Coral scored#31
86Coral points112
4Processor algae#2
10Net algae#9
24Processor points12
40Net points36
64Algae points48
150Total teleop160
Reef
12L4#13
12L3#13
9L2#9
5L1 · trough#7
52Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points0
262Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#9
93.30.3
93.693.4
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
blue by 4.2
7457
#19
97.50.0
97.597.5
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
Second
8044
#21
86.00.3
86.386.1
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
red by 4.8
2767
#25
81.20.0
81.281.2
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
Third
868
#29
85.20.3
85.585.3
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
red by 4.1
2137
#36
81.20.0
81.281.2
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1