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Red190
565428.4
1690101.5
599084.8
Blue218
595164.9
333971.0
432051.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230194140160180220240260280300190218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+14
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
14Coral scored#9
72Coral points45
72Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +43
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points77
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#9
24Processor points24
16Net points36
40Algae points60
94Total teleop137
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#11
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#43
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points14
190Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.7
101.3100.5
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 30.5
71.00.1
71.371.5
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Second
84.80.7
84.683.9
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 19.9
64.90.1
65.265.4
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
5654
#40
28.40.7
28.227.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
blue by 23.4
4320
#29
51.80.1
52.252.3
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4