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Red259
565428.4
1690101.5
599084.8
Blue186
595164.9
333971.0
432051.8
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229195140160180220240260280259186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
14Coral scored#9
69Coral points45
72Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +44
30Coral scored#23
107Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
151Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#11
16L3#11
8L2#5
9L1 · trough#5
53Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points14
259Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.7
100.5101.3
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 30.5
71.00.4
71.571.0
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Second
84.80.7
83.984.6
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 19.9
64.90.4
65.464.9
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
5654
#40
28.40.7
27.528.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
blue by 23.4
4320
#29
51.80.4
52.351.9
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4