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Red196
157456.7
209653.2
822345.2
Blue198
598757.0
157753.5
307553.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14614250100200250300196198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
16Coral scored#28
59Coral points100
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
18Processor points18
36Net points24
54Algae points42
113Total teleop142
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#6
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#8
37Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
196Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#30
56.73.5
50.754.2
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
blue by 0.3
57.04.2
51.155.3
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Second
2096
#19
53.23.5
47.751.2
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
blue by 0.7
3075
#28
53.94.2
45.649.9
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Third
8223
#20
45.23.5
39.142.6
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 8.3
1577
#15
53.54.2
37.641.8
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned