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Red139
193740.4
561467.4
321130.6
Blue128
974030.9
331639.6
822345.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17011550100150200250139128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
32Coral points30
41Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
84Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
10Foul points6
139Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
67.41.4
72.170.8
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
red by 22.2
8223
#20
45.20.7
47.147.7
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
1937
#27
40.41.4
41.840.4
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
red by 0.8
3316
#26
39.60.7
36.537.2
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
Third
3211
#16
30.61.4
35.434.0
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
blue by 0.3
9740
#44
30.90.7
28.429.0
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed