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Red131
599084.8
466124.8
711242.7
Blue114
592832.5
571543.0
674051.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154131100200131114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#21
57Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
101Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#5
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points2
131Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.80.6
77.476.8
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 33.8
6740
#14
51.00.9
48.447.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
Second
7112
#34
42.70.6
39.739.1
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
blue by 0.3
5715
#39
43.00.9
44.543.7
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Third
4661
#35
24.80.6
22.421.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
blue by 7.7
5928
#45
32.50.9
32.031.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed