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Red183
598757.0
474461.1
555441.9
Blue146
563552.5
432051.8
338823.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164124100150200250183146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
34Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +33
25Coral scored#20
91Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
129Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#10
9L3#7
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
183Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
#10
61.11.3
53.454.8
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
red by 8.6
52.51.5
45.446.9
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
Second
57.01.3
53.755.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
red by 5.1
4320
#29
51.81.5
44.245.8
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
Third
5554
#21
41.91.3
41.142.4
Auto12.1
Teleop26.2
End3.6
red by 18.1
3388
#36
23.81.5
25.426.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned