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Red191
784543.3
157456.7
1690101.5
Blue92
308343.3
513530.1
973828.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228945015020025030019192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+83Teleop
+97Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +55
24Coral scored#14
85Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
131Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#5
9L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
2Foul points0
191Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.9
100.699.7
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 58.2
3083
#33
43.30.7
40.439.7
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
Second
1574
#30
56.70.9
55.754.9
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
red by 26.7
5135
#32
30.10.7
30.629.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
Third
7845
#18
43.30.9
39.738.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 15.1
9738
#43
28.20.7
26.225.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed