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Red131
817540.6
157753.5
441630.8
Blue207
433840.4
223177.4
194268.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11619950100150250131207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+68
Endgame+80
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +54
15Coral scored#22
55Coral points79
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
6Processor points24
20Net points32
26Algae points56
81Total teleop135
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
6Foul points2
131Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#15
53.50.1
44.044.0
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
blue by 23.9
77.41.2
78.579.7
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
Second
8175
#37
40.60.1
44.344.4
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
blue by 27.8
1942
#13
68.41.2
61.963.1
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
Third
4416
#31
30.80.1
24.324.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
blue by 9.6
4338
#17
40.41.2
35.436.6
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned